Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?Finance12%Yes 12¢No 88¢+632%$1.7KJan 1, 2027
Next Israeli election called by...?Geopolitics3December 31, 2027Yes 80¢No 18¢March 31, 2027Yes 50¢No 51¢December 31, 2026Yes 13¢No 87¢+460%$2.9KJan 1, 2028
Who will Trump meet with by November 30?Politics16Xi JinpingYes 96¢No 4¢Vladimir PutinYes 83¢No 18¢Mark CarneyYes 68¢No 32¢+13 more outcomes+179%$249.9KDec 1
Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?World10Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupGeraldo AlckminYes 38¢No 68¢Fernando HaddadYes 23¢No 94¢Rafael FontelesYes 18¢No 82¢+7 more outcomes+172%$36.8KMar 1, 2027
Trump declares a national emergency by...?Politics2December 31Yes 42¢No 71¢November 30Yes 34¢No 81¢+159%$681.37Jan 1, 2027
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?World2March 31, 2027Yes 34¢No 66¢December 31, 2026Yes 24¢No 76¢+131%$31.4KApr 1, 2027
Who will Trump speak to by November 30?Politics22Xi JinpingYes 90¢No 11¢Vladimir PutinYes 87¢No 13¢Mark CarneyYes 83¢No 17¢+19 more outcomes+130%$228.3KDec 1
2028 Presidential Election: New Jersey WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 87¢No 14¢Republican PartyYes 7¢No 93¢+122%$83.9KNov 8, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Virginia WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 84¢No 16¢Republican PartyYes 14¢No 87¢+95%$84.3KNov 8, 2028
Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?World22Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo government formedYes 36¢No 64¢OtherYes 18¢No 82¢Y + T + B + DYes 13¢No 88¢+19 more outcomes+79%$114.5KJan 1, 2028
Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?World5Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJosé MúcioYes 33¢No 90¢Celso AmorimYes 23¢No 91¢Aloizio MercadanteYes 18¢No 88¢+2 more outcomes+65%$1.3KMar 1, 2027
Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly Election WinnerPolitics4Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupBJPYes 86¢No 14¢SPYes 15¢No 85¢BSPYes 1¢No 99¢+1 more outcomes+52%$27.9KApr 1, 2027
Which party will win the Senate in 2028?Elections2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupDemocratic PartyYes 61¢No 40¢Republican PartyYes 38¢No 62¢+51%$130.8KNov 8, 2028
Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?World6Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMauro VieiraYes 37¢No 64¢Fernando HaddadYes 27¢No 74¢Celso AmorimYes 18¢No 82¢+3 more outcomes+45%$12.5KMar 1, 2027
2028 Presidential Election: Texas WinnerPolitics2Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupRepublican PartyYes 78¢No 23¢Democratic PartyYes 23¢No 77¢+34%$105.4KNov 8, 2028