Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Tech66%Yes 66¢No 35¢+47%$692.24Dec 31
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Tech45%Yes 45¢No 56¢+85%$581.44Jul 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $45 in 2026?Tech52%Yes 52¢No 41¢+41%$235.53Jan 1, 2027
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $40 in 2026?Tech52%Yes 52¢No 72¢+37%$238.47Jan 1, 2027
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Tech45%Yes 45¢No 52¢+32%$647.83Jun 30, 2027
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech44%Yes 44¢No 56¢+31%$161.95Jan 1, 2027
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Tech56%Yes 56¢No 50¢+22%$274.54Jun 30, 2027
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?Tech23%Yes 23¢No 77¢+77%$881.75Nov 16
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Tech78%Yes 78¢No 22¢+15%$1.0KDec 31
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech36%Yes 36¢No 65¢+37%$475.32Jan 1, 2027
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Tech29%Yes 29¢No 72¢+36%$467.92Jul 1, 2027
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech16%Yes 16¢No 85¢+82%$728.87Jan 1, 2027
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech73%Yes 73¢No 28¢+11%$1.9KJan 1, 2027
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $15 by June 30, 2027?Tech86%Yes 86¢No 14¢+8.9%$311.34Jul 1, 2027