How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
24h volume$0
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$8.7K
Open interest$23.0K
Expires—
Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity
| Outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | 30% | 30¢40¢ | — |
| 0Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 17% | 17¢62¢ | — |
| 2Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 14% | 14¢94¢ | — |
| 3Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 5% | 5¢98¢ | — |
| 5+Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 1% | 1¢99¢ | — |
| 4Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | <1% | <1¢>99¢ | — |
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
6 outcomesOrder book
Intelligence
30¢40¢
Holders
No holder split reported
Largest holders
Data is behind · Updated Nov 1, 07:56 UTC; rows may be out of date
- 0x06d8…9446$821.70Yes
- LieutenantMiloMinderbinder0x66d6…50c7$765.25Yes
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418$644.92Yes
- DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91$508.87Yes
- donthackme0x0380…073d$484.33Yes
Notable wallets
| Side | Whales | Smart money | Insiders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |
WhaleSmart moneyInsider
Summary
Loading
Contract
- Event id
- 135338
- Markets
- 6
- Created
- Jan 2, 18:56 UTC
- Ends
- Apr 1, 2027, 03:59 UTC
- Condition
- 0x026243ce…
- Structure
- Neg risk
ScienceWeatherNatural Disasters