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Discover/What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Polymarket

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

24h volume$469.050.0%
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$287.3K
Open interest$130.2K
Expires—

Every outcome in this event, with price, volume and liquidity

Outcome
Dilution of Iran's UraniumWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?15%15¢86¢$24.39$215.8K$56.2KJan 1, 2027
1+ Year Enrichment MoratoriumWill a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?15%15¢86¢$279.65$203.7K$42.5KJan 1, 2027
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?14%14¢87¢$88.26$280.6K$50.9KJan 1, 2027
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?13%13¢87¢$76.75$258.6K$49.1KJan 1, 2027
Enriched Uranium SurrenderWill a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?11%11¢90¢—$116.0K$42.7KJan 1, 2027
Iran Reconstruction FundingWill Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?7%7¢94¢—$349.0K$47.8KJan 1, 2027
ClosedBars scale to the largest row
6 outcomes

Order book

Intelligence

15¢86¢
Holders
No holder split reported
Largest holders
  • paddaaWhale · Large portfolio0x60a9…5a71$4.7KNo
  • 0xfc2f…10c7$4.3KNo
  • ArmageddonRewardsBillyWhale · Large portfolio0xc8ab…6418$2.5KNo
  • peterfromfamilyguyWhale · Large portfolio0x9352…2227$2.1KNo
  • hopedieslastWhale · Large portfolio0x5739…5f1a$1.7KNo
Notable wallets
SideWhalesSmart moneyInsiders
Yes———
No———
WhaleSmart moneyInsider
Summary
Loading
Contract
Event id
629791
Markets
6
Created
Jun 24, 16:03 UTC
Ends
Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
Condition
0x59807c67…
FundGeopoliticsEnrichNuclearUraniumPoliticsPeace DealNegotiations