Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | 70.4 | 19¢ | 94¢ | $65.93 | — |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | 120.54 | 44¢ | 49¢ | $59.18 | — |
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | 221.92 | 27¢ | 24¢ | $54.04 | — |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes | 60.21 | 56¢ | 56¢ | $33.93 | — |
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 40.58 | 69¢ | 60¢ | $24.14 | — |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 25.48 | 52¢ | 62¢ | $15.8 | — |
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | 15.2 | 76¢ | 80¢ | $12.16 | — |
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?Yes | 70.38 | 18¢ | 17¢ | $11.97 | — |
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 41.33 | 30¢ | 25¢ | $10.13 | — |
Will another candidate win the CA-07 House seat?Yes | 19.66 | 0¢ | 50¢ | $9.83 | — |
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | 1.0K | 6¢ | 1¢ | $9.55 | — |
Will a candidate not listed above win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 17.34 | 0¢ | 50¢ | $8.67 | — |
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes | 1.0K | 3¢ | 1¢ | $8.65 | — |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 45%-50%?No | 8.69 | 98¢ | 96¢ | $8.31 | — |
Will Person A win the 2026 TN-06 House election?Yes | 12.63 | 0¢ | 50¢ | $6.32 | — |
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Yes | 10.04 | 55¢ | 61¢ | $6.12 | — |
Will 1 Independent be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes | 13.43 | 30¢ | 36¢ | $4.84 | — |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 13.48 | 27¢ | 35¢ | $4.65 | — |
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | 20.45 | 44¢ | 21¢ | $4.3 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,400,000 and 2,550,000?Yes | 18.82 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $4.14 | — |
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Yes | 11 | 10¢ | 36¢ | $3.95 | — |
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | 8.24 | 34¢ | 45¢ | $3.66 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?Yes | 73.73 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $3.5 | — |
Will the Republican Party win the FL-24 House seat?Yes | 396.4 | 2¢ | 1¢ | $3.37 | — |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | 252 | 2¢ | 1¢ | $3.15 | — |
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes | 7.32 | 22¢ | 43¢ | $3.15 | — |
Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Yes | 10.93 | 84¢ | 28¢ | $3.1 | — |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31?Yes | 73.5 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $3.05 | — |
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?Yes | 20.15 | 13¢ | 14¢ | $2.75 | — |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Yes | 5.18 | 28¢ | 49¢ | $2.54 | — |
Will Person B win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5 | 0¢ | 50¢ | $2.5 | — |
Will Person D win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5 | 0¢ | 50¢ | $2.5 | — |
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 10.34 | 29¢ | 24¢ | $2.43 | — |
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes | 5.2 | 25¢ | 33¢ | $1.69 | — |
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes | 18.87 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $1.11 | — |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Yes | 10.04 | 25¢ | 11¢ | $1.08 | — |
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Yes | 6.67 | 48¢ | 14¢ | $0.9 | — |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes | 10.04 | 25¢ | 9¢ | $0.89 | — |
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes | 10.91 | 11¢ | 8¢ | $0.82 | — |
Will Håkan Karlsson-Nyborg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes | 9.11 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $0.67 | — |
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?Yes | 40 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $0.64 | — |
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?Yes | 36.4 | 3¢ | 1¢ | $0.4 | — |
Will Unity win 0.5-0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | 69.45 | 5¢ | <1¢ | $0.28 | — |
Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Yes | 35.72 | 1¢ | <1¢ | $0.09 | — |
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes | 6.3 | 20¢ | 1¢ | $0.08 | — |
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes | 12.84 | 37¢ | 1¢ | $0.07 | — |
Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?Yes | 10.71 | 14¢ | 1¢ | $0.06 | — |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 45.46 | 2¢ | <1¢ | $0.02 | — |
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes | 40.85 | 9¢ | <1¢ | $0.02 | — |
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Yes | 20.21 | 5¢ | <1¢ | $0.01 | — |