Venezuela leader end of 2026?Politics16Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNicolás MaduroYes 84¢No 16¢Delcy RodríguezYes 12¢No 89¢No Head of StateYes 2¢No 98¢+13 more outcomes—$2.4MJan 1, 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?Geopolitics30Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMojtaba KhameneiYes 86¢No 14¢No Head of StateYes 5¢No 95¢Reza PahlaviYes 2¢No 98¢+27 more outcomes—$1.7MDec 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Politics14December 31, 2027Yes 70¢No 31¢November 30, 2027Yes 68¢No 33¢October 31, 2027Yes 65¢No 36¢+11 more outcomes—$1.1MJul 1, 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Politics15Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupChinaYes 82¢No 18¢No meeting by December 31Yes 17¢No 84¢United StatesYes 1¢No 100¢+12 more outcomes—$864.7KJan 1, 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Politics14Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo meeting before 2027Yes 93¢No 7¢USYes 3¢No 97¢Qatar / UAEYes 1¢No 99¢+11 more outcomes—$858.4KJan 1, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Geopolitics3June 30, 2027Yes 9¢No 91¢March 31, 2027Yes 7¢No 94¢December 31, 2026Yes 2¢No 98¢—$841.2KJul 1, 2027
Next leader out of power before 2027?Politics22Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNone before 2027Yes 69¢No 32¢Netanyahu - Israel PMYes 15¢No 86¢Sánchez - Spanish PMYes 4¢No 96¢+19 more outcomes—$728.4KJan 1, 2027
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?World29Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo meeting by December 31, 2027Yes 71¢No 30¢United StatesYes 5¢No 95¢RussiaYes 4¢No 96¢+26 more outcomes—$678.1KJan 1, 2028
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Geopolitics8October 31Yes 99¢No 1¢November 2Yes 95¢No 5¢November 4Yes 87¢No 14¢+5 more outcomes—$629.0KJan 1, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Geopolitics15October 30Yes >99¢No <1¢October 29Yes >99¢No <1¢October 31Yes 99¢No 1¢+12 more outcomes—$611.5KDec 31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Geopolitics5March 31Yes 64¢No 37¢December 31Yes 44¢No 56¢November 30Yes 30¢No 71¢+2 more outcomes—$425.4KJan 1, 2027
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics16VenezuelaYes 14¢No 86¢LebanonYes 7¢No 93¢TunisiaYes 6¢No 95¢+13 more outcomes—$407.0KJan 1, 2027
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?World29Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupUAEYes 73¢No 28¢BelarusYes 8¢No >99¢Saudi ArabiaYes 8¢No >99¢+26 more outcomes—$371.5KJan 1, 2028
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?Geopolitics19Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo Meeting by December 31Yes 57¢No 43¢QatarYes 18¢No 82¢TurkeyYes 5¢No 95¢+16 more outcomes—$325.1KDec 31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Politics3December 31Yes 12¢No 89¢November 30Yes 6¢No 94¢October 31Yes <1¢No >99¢—$314.3KJan 1, 2027