Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Elections53Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupAlexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 16¢No 84¢Gavin NewsomYes 16¢No 84¢Jon OssoffYes 15¢No 85¢+50 more outcomes—$72.2MNov 8, 2028
Presidential Election Winner 2028Politics55Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJD VanceYes 18¢No 82¢Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 13¢No 87¢Gavin NewsomYes 12¢No 88¢+52 more outcomes—$59.6MNov 8, 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Politics43Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJ.D. VanceYes 39¢No 61¢Marco RubioYes 21¢No 79¢Ron DeSantisYes 4¢No 96¢+40 more outcomes—$49.1MNov 8, 2028
Next French Presidential ElectionPolitics45Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMarine Le PenYes 41¢No 59¢David LisnardYes 19¢No 81¢Jean-Luc MélenchonYes 12¢No 89¢+42 more outcomes—$18.3MApr 19, 2027
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Politics16Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNicolás MaduroYes 84¢No 16¢Delcy RodríguezYes 12¢No 89¢No Head of StateYes 2¢No 99¢+13 more outcomes—$2.4MJan 1, 2027
Democratic VP Nominee 2028Politics43Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupAlexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 11¢No 90¢Gretchen WhitmerYes 9¢No 91¢Elissa SlotkinYes 8¢No 92¢+40 more outcomes—$2.1MNov 8, 2028
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics20Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupAlberto Núñez FeijóoYes 84¢No 16¢Pedro SánchezYes 9¢No 91¢Santiago AbascalYes 2¢No 98¢+17 more outcomes—$1.7MNov 30
Iran leader end of 2026?Geopolitics30Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMojtaba KhameneiYes 86¢No 14¢No Head of StateYes 5¢No 95¢Reza PahlaviYes 2¢No 98¢+27 more outcomes—$1.7MDec 31
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerPolitics21Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupJavier MileiYes 44¢No 56¢Axel KicillofYes 29¢No 72¢Sergio MassaYes 15¢No 85¢+18 more outcomes—$1.2MOct 25, 2027
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Politics14December 31, 2027Yes 70¢No 31¢November 30, 2027Yes 68¢No 33¢October 31, 2027Yes 65¢No 36¢+11 more outcomes—$1.1MJul 1, 2027
Republican VP Nominee 2028Politics35Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMarco RubioYes 28¢No 73¢Tucker CarlsonYes 6¢No 94¢Katie BrittYes 6¢No 94¢+32 more outcomes—$1.1MNov 8, 2028
Next Prime Minister of SwedenElections10Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupMagdalena AnderssonYes 71¢No 30¢Ulf KristerssonYes 25¢No 75¢Ebba BuschYes 2¢No 98¢+7 more outcomes—$938.5KJul 1, 2027
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Politics71Rahm EmanuelYes 70¢No 78¢Andy BeshearYes 26¢No 74¢Pete ButtigiegYes 21¢No 79¢+68 more outcomes—$871.7KJan 1, 2027
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?Politics71Andy BeshearYes 88¢No 12¢Pete ButtigiegYes 82¢No 18¢Ted CruzYes 75¢No 26¢+68 more outcomes—$871.4KJan 1, 2028
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Politics15Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupChinaYes 81¢No 20¢No meeting by December 31Yes 17¢No 84¢United StatesYes 1¢No 100¢+12 more outcomes—$867.8KJan 1, 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Politics14Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo meeting before 2027Yes 93¢No 7¢USYes 3¢No 97¢Qatar / UAEYes 1¢No 99¢+11 more outcomes—$865.3KJan 1, 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Geopolitics3June 30, 2027Yes 10¢No 91¢March 31, 2027Yes 7¢No 94¢December 31, 2026Yes 2¢No 98¢—$845.9KJul 1, 2027
Who will be arrested before 2027?Politics24John BrennanYes 22¢No 78¢Mahmoud KhalilYes 20¢No 80¢James ClapperYes 10¢No 91¢+21 more outcomes—$812.6KJan 1, 2027
Next leader out of power before 2027?Politics22Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNone before 2027Yes 69¢No 32¢Netanyahu - Israel PMYes 14¢No 87¢Sánchez - Spanish PMYes 4¢No 96¢+19 more outcomes—$740.8KJan 1, 2027