P&L · Profitable

Extremely profitable Very profitable Unprofitable Very unprofitable Rekt

Traders919.7K

Portfolio$42.2M$45.88 avg

Realized P&L+$261.8M

Yes share35.0%

Sentiment

In profit / loss868.1K / 0

Win rate61.8%

Market	Yes / No traders
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Presidential Election Winner 2028	2.8K/2.1K	$2.1M	47%	+$2.1M
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Brazil Presidential Election	3.8K/884	$1.6M	100%	+$1.6M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1.5K/7.0K	$1.5M	0%	+$1.5M
Xi Jinping out in 2025?Xi Jinping out in 2025?	445/5.8K	$1.3M	0%	+$1.3M
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Xi Jinping out before 2027?	289/4.1K	$1.3M	0%	+$1.3M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	1.5K/863	$908.6K	82%	+$908.1K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1.2K/1.7K	$883.6K	0%	+$883.6K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Fed decision in December?	5.2K/685	$878.0K	100%	+$875.1K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?	1.1K/4.4K	$797.6K	1%	+$793.2K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Putin out as President of Russia by...?	501/1.7K	$738.8K	1%	+$738.7K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Presidential Election Winner 2028	1.6K/1.4K	$724.4K	16%	+$724.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the House in 2026?	2.0K/256	$702.4K	99%	+$695.9K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	2.3K/3.1K	$601.8K	0%	+$600.0K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1.4K/8.4K	$583.5K	0%	+$583.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Fed Decision in October?	1.2K/180	$572.8K	100%	+$572.8K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1.6K/2.1K	$559.4K	15%	+$559.4K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ballon d'Or Winner 2026	1.6K/533	$482.8K	100%	+$482.8K
Trump out as President before 2027?Trump out as President before 2027?	587/1.7K	$452.8K	2%	+$451.7K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	1.4K/453	$430.4K	92%	+$430.2K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?New York City Mayoral Election	6.0K/1.7K	$397.0K	100%	+$397.0K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Brazil Presidential Election	2.3K/1.1K	$382.6K	0%	+$380.9K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1.7K/2.1K	$381.6K	3%	+$381.6K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	3.6K/2.1K	$375.5K	71%	+$372.3K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	128/1.7K	$352.2K	0%	+$352.2K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	182/496	$343.9K	1%	+$343.9K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	4.0K/2.4K	$343.7K	84%	+$340.8K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	164/419	$336.0K	3%	+$336.0K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	1.4K/337	$334.9K	97%	+$334.2K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___?	222/2.6K	$329.9K	0%	+$329.1K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Fed decision in December?	987/3.8K	$329.6K	0%	+$325.8K
Canucks vs. FlamesCanucks vs. Flames	133/234	$294.8K	0%	+$55.8K
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Next French Presidential Election	523/199	$280.0K	83%	+$280.0K
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?	106/491	$279.6K	0%	+$278.7K
Maduro out in 2025?Maduro out by...?	736/1.5K	$271.5K	0%	+$269.6K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Presidential Election Winner 2028	502/1.0K	$263.0K	62%	+$263.0K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	1.1K/1.2K	$247.3K	53%	+$247.2K
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	2.0K/702	$247.2K	100%	+$238.2K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Fed decision in March?	516/3.2K	$242.6K	0%	−$347.86
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Will Trump be impeached in 2025?	148/434	$235.4K	0%	+$235.4K
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?What price will Ethereum hit in 2025?	336/579	$234.6K	0%	+$234.6K

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