P&L · Very unprofitable

Extremely profitable Very profitable Profitable Unprofitable Rekt

Traders18.0K

Portfolio$32.2M$1.8K avg

Realized P&L−$464.7M

Yes share45.7%

Sentiment

In profit / loss0 / 18.0K

Win rate41.1%

Market	Yes / No traders
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Presidential Election Winner 2028	191/66	$2.5M	34%	+$2.5M
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Putin out as President of Russia by...?	60/103	$1.3M	3%	+$1.3M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	193/166	$1.0M	9%	+$1.0M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	188/198	$746.1K	53%	+$746.1K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	108/143	$602.2K	9%	+$602.2K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?	143/178	$600.9K	14%	+$600.9K
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Next French Presidential Election	24/30	$597.4K	3%	+$597.4K
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Next French Presidential Election	83/45	$575.8K	55%	+$575.8K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Fed Decision in October?	123/51	$531.0K	100%	+$531.0K
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Xi Jinping out before 2027?	46/96	$511.8K	9%	+$511.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the House in 2026?	122/53	$468.0K	92%	+$466.4K
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	195/143	$443.9K	100%	+$413.6K
Eagles vs. JaguarsEagles vs. Jaguars	52/56	$398.4K	0%	+$398.4K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	279/120	$396.6K	0%	+$395.4K
Trump out as President before 2027?Trump out as President before 2027?	78/94	$385.6K	10%	+$385.5K
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?	67/36	$371.3K	9%	+$371.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	87/46	$367.2K	65%	+$367.2K
Bills vs. RamsBills vs. Rams	29/70	$366.5K	100%	+$366.5K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Brazil Presidential Election	192/101	$359.0K	100%	+$359.0K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	116/114	$350.0K	12%	+$350.0K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the House in 2026?	75/50	$322.7K	32%	+$322.7K
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group ACounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A	44/23	$318.2K	100%	+$318.2K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	165/55	$317.9K	96%	+$317.9K
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?	5/10	$306.7K	0%	+$306.7K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	73/59	$305.9K	51%	+$305.9K
Ravens vs. FalconsRavens vs. Falcons	71/55	$299.5K	99%	+$299.5K
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels	11/15	$286.5K	96%	+$286.5K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ballon d'Or Winner 2026	109/92	$285.4K	100%	+$285.4K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Fed decision in December?	187/58	$283.5K	100%	+$197.0K
Xi Jinping out in 2025?Xi Jinping out in 2025?	51/98	$276.2K	0%	+$275.9K
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?	29/41	$262.2K	2%	+$262.2K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	109/60	$261.2K	69%	+$261.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	5/7	$257.9K	0%	+$257.9K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	102/86	$253.1K	14%	+$253.1K
Cowboys vs. PackersCowboys vs. Packers	46/72	$242.8K	0%	+$242.8K
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?	24/16	$241.9K	14%	+$241.9K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Texas Senate Election Winner	58/51	$239.6K	73%	+$239.6K
Thunder vs. SpursThunder vs. Spurs	79/81	$238.9K	100%	+$238.9K
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?	34/30	$228.0K	6%	+$228.0K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	90/48	$218.1K	84%	+$217.9K

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