P&L · Unprofitable

Extremely profitable Very profitable Profitable Very unprofitable Rekt

Traders2.3M

Portfolio$25.7M$11.08 avg

Realized P&L−$563.9M

Yes share47.5%

Sentiment

In profit / loss0 / 2.3M

Win rate27.6%

Market	Yes / No traders
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5.9K/5.0K	$546.6K	37%	+$546.6K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the House in 2026?	3.2K/793	$544.1K	93%	+$523.9K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Fed decision in December?	7.8K/2.0K	$489.6K	100%	+$475.8K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?	5.5K/7.4K	$426.1K	15%	+$424.2K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Presidential Election Winner 2028	7.8K/5.7K	$397.0K	68%	+$395.3K
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1.3K/6.5K	$391.6K	5%	+$388.2K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	3.3K/1.8K	$391.0K	54%	+$390.7K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	9.0K/5.4K	$357.3K	83%	+$354.6K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5.2K/15.3K	$354.1K	6%	+$352.2K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Putin out as President of Russia by...?	2.0K/3.0K	$335.4K	9%	+$334.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Fed Decision in October?	2.0K/496	$329.9K	100%	+$329.9K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?New York City Mayoral Election	12.8K/5.7K	$282.2K	100%	+$282.0K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Presidential Election Winner 2028	4.2K/3.3K	$254.3K	32%	+$252.9K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	7.1K/4.8K	$239.8K	26%	+$239.7K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Brazil Presidential Election	5.5K/2.5K	$238.8K	100%	+$237.6K
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?Elon Musk # tweets March 26 - March 28, 2026?	101/174	$226.5K	0%	−$2.9K
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	584/456	$215.0K	100%	+$215.0K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	513/2.6K	$212.4K	6%	+$212.4K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	9.4K/4.7K	$210.9K	0%	+$195.6K
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	4.7K/3.5K	$210.0K	100%	+$202.0K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Texas Senate Election Winner	889/478	$202.5K	75%	+$202.5K
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Next French Presidential Election	498/716	$201.5K	23%	+$201.5K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	2.7K/1.1K	$197.5K	78%	+$197.4K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	11.2K/5.9K	$196.6K	76%	+$192.5K
Trump out as President before 2027?Trump out as President before 2027?	2.8K/3.0K	$192.4K	35%	+$188.1K
Xi Jinping out in 2025?Xi Jinping out in 2025?	1.3K/7.3K	$173.5K	0%	+$172.5K
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Presidential Election Winner 2028	517/3.2K	$171.9K	10%	+$171.5K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	1.4K/704	$170.6K	67%	+$170.6K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	2.4K/2.3K	$170.0K	94%	+$169.8K
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	598/442	$164.8K	100%	+$164.8K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1.1K/1.1K	$163.2K	22%	+$163.2K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	4.0K/3.7K	$161.9K	80%	+$161.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	2.7K/855	$161.3K	81%	+$159.9K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Largest Company end of 2025?	6.1K/548	$158.0K	100%	+$156.0K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028	2.5K/3.5K	$157.1K	40%	+$156.8K
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 28?Ethereum price on March 28?	83/130	$156.8K	0%	−$48.34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	1.6K/556	$156.3K	48%	+$154.9K
Maduro out in 2025?Maduro out by...?	3.0K/2.1K	$156.3K	0%	+$131.8K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ballon d'Or Winner 2026	2.4K/1.3K	$155.4K	100%	+$155.4K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms	718/887	$152.8K	30%	+$152.7K

BullishNeutralBearish