How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Geopolitics13Neg-risk · Shared collateral group0 (0 bps)Yes 97¢No 3¢1 (25 bps)Yes 1¢No 99¢2 (50 bps)Yes 1¢No 100¢+10 more outcomes—$3.6MJan 1, 2027
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Science12Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupSpaceXYes 54¢No 47¢AnthropicYes 46¢No 54¢OpenAIYes <1¢No >99¢+9 more outcomes—$643.2KJan 2, 2027
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?Tech3December 31, 2029Yes 24¢No 77¢December 31, 2028Yes 17¢No 84¢December 31, 2027Yes 8¢No 93¢—$508.1KJan 1, 2030
Crude Oil all time high by...?Geopolitics2March 31, 2027Yes 29¢No 71¢December 31Yes 17¢No 84¢—$187.7KJan 1, 2027
Anthropic IPO by __?Finance12December 31, 2026Yes 88¢No 12¢December 15, 2026Yes 84¢No 17¢November 30, 2026Yes 81¢No 20¢+9 more outcomes—$131.0KJan 1, 2027
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?Tech3December 31, 2029Yes 23¢No 78¢December 31, 2028Yes 17¢No 84¢December 31, 2027Yes 9¢No 92¢—$126.2KJan 1, 2030
Fed rate cut by...?Finance6April 2027 MeetingYes 39¢No 3¢June 2027 MeetingYes 28¢No 74¢July 2027 MeetingYes 21¢No 9¢+3 more outcomes—$88.9KJan 29, 2028
Oura IPO Closing Market CapFinance8Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNo IPO before January 2027Yes 95¢No 5¢$20B+Yes 3¢No 98¢$10B–$12.5BYes 1¢No 99¢+5 more outcomes—$76.0KJan 1, 2027
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?Finance8Neg-risk · Shared collateral group<$1TYes 23¢No 77¢$1.25T–$1.5TYes 21¢No 79¢$1.5T–$1.75TYes 18¢No 83¢+5 more outcomes—$62.2KJan 1, 2028
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Financials15JetBlue AirwaysYes 8¢No 92¢Beyond MeatYes 7¢No 94¢XeroxYes 6¢No 94¢+12 more outcomes—$60.4KJan 1, 2027
What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?Finance7↓ 10,000Yes 20¢No 80¢↓ 4,000Yes 4¢No 96¢↓ 6,000Yes 4¢No 96¢+4 more outcomes—$56.5KJan 1, 2027
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Finance13Below 4.70%Yes 96¢No 4¢Below 4.65%Yes 82¢No 18¢Below 4.60%Yes 62¢No 38¢+10 more outcomes—$53.4KDec 31
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Business15ConductorYes 63¢No 37¢Viking TherapeuticsYes 10¢No 90¢PayPalYes 10¢No 91¢+12 more outcomes—$52.8KJan 1, 2027
AI bubble burst by...?Business2June 30, 2027Yes 23¢No 78¢December 31, 2026Yes 10¢No 90¢—$52.6KJan 1, 2027
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?Tech8Neg-risk · Shared collateral group$1.50–$1.75TYes 56¢No 45¢$1.75–$2.00TYes 36¢No 65¢$2.00–$2.25TYes 4¢No 96¢+5 more outcomes—$50.0KJan 1, 2028
In which month will Anthropic IPO?Tech15Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNovember 2026Yes 78¢No 22¢December 2026Yes 9¢No 91¢January 2027Yes 2¢No 98¢+12 more outcomes—$48.6KJan 1, 2028
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Finance10Below 5.25%Yes 80¢No 21¢Below 5.20%Yes 63¢No 37¢Below 5.15%Yes 49¢No 51¢+7 more outcomes—$48.5KDec 31
OpenAI IPO by...?Tech3June 30, 2027Yes 45¢No 55¢March 31, 2027Yes 20¢No 81¢December 31, 2026Yes 3¢No 97¢—$47.0KJul 1, 2027
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?Finance9Neg-risk · Shared collateral group$ANTYes 98¢No 3¢$ANTHYes 2¢No 98¢$ARPCYes <1¢No >99¢+6 more outcomes—$43.4KJan 1, 2028
Anthropic IPO DateFinance12Neg-risk · Shared collateral groupNovember 20Yes 20¢No 81¢No IPO by November 30, 2026Yes 19¢No 82¢November 19Yes 18¢No 83¢+9 more outcomes—$43.3KDec 1