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IMPLYRA JOURNALFIELD NOTES / 001

The research
desk.

Methods, market structure and the questions behind the odds.

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An analytical diagram separating wallet profit, position value and win rate
THE LATEST 01

Wallet research

What a prediction-market wallet’s P&L actually tells you

Read profit, entry price, open exposure and win rate together. Two worked examples show why the definitions matter.

5 MIN READ
MORE FROM THE DESK02—03
Two market contracts compared across resolution source, threshold and observation window02

Market structure

Before comparing the odds, compare the rules

A practical method for matching Polymarket and Kalshi markets: outcomes, thresholds, sources, clocks and the prices you can actually compare.

Sep 7, 2026 · 5 MIN READ
An event branches into markets, each with separate outcome token identifiers.03

Developer notes

One event. Several identifiers.

Map a Polymarket event to its markets and outcome tokens with one public request. Keep the identifiers separate before adding prices, positions or order books.

Sep 7, 2026 · 6 MIN READ

Good research starts with a better question.

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